Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.188984 0.217229 0.249360 0.288847 0.336382 0.392160 0.463147
2025-06-22 0.142788 0.178259 0.223061 0.284765 0.369084 0.482613 0.651180
2025-06-29 0.118078 0.156530 0.209014 0.287926 0.407309 0.587754 0.894991
2025-07-06 0.099886 0.138508 0.194426 0.284489 0.432446 0.678940 1.152595
2025-07-13 0.088904 0.128119 0.187872 0.290166 0.471349 0.802249 1.518729
2025-07-20 0.080666 0.120166 0.183091 0.296828 0.512593 0.942291 1.988671
2025-07-27 0.073949 0.113400 0.178766 0.302832 0.553564 1.095668 2.578724
2025-08-03 0.068762 0.108284 0.176187 0.311132 0.600949 1.280642 3.377647
2025-08-10 0.063599 0.102456 0.171343 0.313874 0.637106 1.454043 4.282824
2025-08-17 0.058952 0.096915 0.166138 0.314719 0.669124 1.630956 5.365564
2025-08-24 0.054598 0.091371 0.160115 0.312604 0.693465 1.798162 6.592843
2025-08-31 0.050522 0.085883 0.153457 0.307822 0.709809 1.949975 7.943294
2025-09-07 0.048195 0.083504 0.152818 0.317034 0.767778 2.273693 10.688626
2025-09-14 0.044681 0.078490 0.146173 0.310885 0.781150 2.451298 12.939180
2025-09-21 0.042335 0.075532 0.143480 0.313988 0.823565 2.769625 16.900257
2025-09-28 0.039672 0.071678 0.138382 0.310051 0.843075 3.009148 20.929015
2025-10-05 0.038026 0.069732 0.137245 0.316339 0.898868 3.456746 28.576207
2025-10-12 0.036590 0.068079 0.136555 0.323746 0.961819 3.997748 40.022099
2025-10-19 0.035217 0.066425 0.135656 0.330432 1.025324 4.607997 56.662217
2025-10-26 0.034093 0.065199 0.135619 0.339682 1.103211 5.394799 84.238424
2025-11-02 0.032702 0.063265 0.133639 0.342739 1.157812 6.102699 119.780541
2025-11-09 0.031307 0.061204 0.131117 0.343681 1.204484 6.822541 169.584476
2025-11-16 0.029857 0.058900 0.127743 0.341322 1.236099 7.477842 234.440074